Building scenarios for MSP and sustainable blue economy

This Building Block aimed to analyze potential future conditions of the Western Mediterranean in order to build three scenarios by 2030: trend scenario; conservationist scenario; and integrated scenario. The developed scenarios DO NOT represent official proposals for the area; instead, they are a starting point for a multi-sectoral and cross-border dialogue about the desired future. A technical report was developed and made publicly available.

  • Existing regional publications on maritime sectors trends

  • Existing regional policies about MSP or blue economy covering at least some of the beneficiary countries

  • Potential areas of development: Identify them based on literature to the extent possible, while using “real-life logic” when it does not exist.

  • Transparency: Justify the goals and assumptions of each scenario, as well as how they were developed. If they are not official proposals, make it clear whenever presenting the scenarios in order to avoid any issue, such as a governmental stakeholder upset because it was not involved in the process

  • How to use: Develop some guidelines with suggestions on how to use and adapt the scenarios during dialogue and negotiation with stakeholders at national and regional levels